Log production by states in peninsular malaysia: a 10 years review

ABSTRACT
Malaysia is one of the countries that comprise tropical rainforest. Malaysia has been rehearsing Sustainable Forest Management (SFM) since 1901. Due to lack of research on the trend of timber production in Malaysia, this research is significant in providing the trend of log production in order to have a view on the current and future production. This study aims to analyse the trend of log production by states in Peninsular Malaysia in ten years (2008-2017) and predict the production in 2030. The secondary data of log, sawn timber, plywood and veneer production acquired from the Forestry Department of Peninsular Malaysia were used to analysed the result. In general, Peninsular Malaysia showed an inclining trend of wood production. Then, prediction of wood production until 2030 was estimated using moving average method. Moving average method was used to predict the production of wood production by types until 2030. Then, a statistical analysis using chi-square was applied to test the relationship between types of wood production in every state. Chi-square test showed that the production of log, sawn timber, plywood and veneer have a significant relationship within each state which supported the estimation of wood production using MA method. State government must take initiatives to prevent from forest degradation by improving the forestry management.